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Tuesday, 19 May 2015

ISIS' victory in Ramadi...

  In a recent report by CNN, the seizure by ISIS of Ramadi, capital of the Iraqi province of Anbar, has come as a rude awakening to Iraqi and Western officials.
Key Iraqi city of Ramadi falls to ISIS
After ISIS fighters were evicted from the city of Tikrit in March, the Iraqi government announced that an offensive to recover Anbar would follow. But it has floundered thanks to poor morale among Iraqi troops in the face of a remorseless and resilient enemy, mistrust of the government among Sunni tribes and limited coalition airstrikes.

The loss of Ramadi has also compounded a humanitarian crisis and an economic disaster, with tracts of the city reduced to rubble, infrastructure destroyed and thousands of people fleeing their homes.
It is still possible that Iraqi government forces, albeit with heavy support from Shia militia, can retake the city from ISIS fighters. But it will be if anything a tougher battle than that for Tikrit. In the meantime, ISIS is crowing about its most notable victory in Iraq since it stormed south in the summer of 2014.
Among the many lessons to be drawn from the last few days in Ramadi are:
The Iraqi army is still a work in (slow) progress
The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) have a long way to go to be considered an effective fighting force. U.S. trainers have begun reshaping the Iraqi army, with some 7,000 troops trained so far and another 3,000 to 4,000 in the pipeline.
But for now, there are few effective units. The Iraqi army is over-reliant on elite units like the Golden Division (which was itself part of the chaotic retreat from Ramadi), and despite efforts by Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi to shake up the military top brass, many units still suffer from desertion and poor morale.
The ineffectiveness of ISF is compounded by commanders' lack of faith in the government. Last month, ISIS seized a key Iraqi army base at Thirthar Lake, 25 km (15 miles) north of Ramadi. The army's 4th Regiment had been desperately hanging on for promised reinforcements before being overrun.
Similarly, after Iraqi units were evicted from Ramadi, one local official - Ibrahim Hassan Khalaf al-Fahdawi - said the city had fallen because of false promises of reinforcements from the government.
"If 10% of the government's promises had been implemented, Ramadi would still in our hands and ISIS wouldn't dare to be anywhere near the city," al Fahdawi, head of Khalidiya's Security Council, told CNN.
For more than a year, police and army units had defended the government complex in Ramadi against repeated ISIS attacks, some of the more recent assaults involving tunnels. Despite the obvious and continuing threat to these facilities, reinforcements sufficient to repel ISIS never materialized.

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